Co-founder of sustainable design movement illuminates our uncertain futures

The Australian co-founder of the permaculture concept David Holmgren has today launched a new global scenario planning website, Future Scenarios. Holmgren says his future scenarios will help both policy makers and activists come to terms with the end of the era of growth. “The simultaneous onset of climate change and the peaking of global oil supply represent unprecedented challenges for human civilisation. Each limits the effective options for responses to the other,” writes Holmgren.

What we don’t know

John Michael Greer is quite correct that historically humans have met resource declines with struggles to adapt, and that these efforts have changed the dynamics of the decline. But I think he is too dismissive of those who worry about a rapid, steep decline.